Sunrise Boulevard in Baganga, Davao Oriental is so called because it faces the east. The locals credit the mangroves for saving them from the fury of typhoon Pablo in 2012, but what used to be a lush coastal forest is now filled with whitewashed tree trunks with gnarled branches that seem to stretch up in prayer to the sky. It is still beautiful in its own stark way, and many people still frequent the place to wade in the warm waters under the sparse shade provided by the trees.
What do you do when you’re almost out of coffee beans and you don’t want to settle for the pre-roasted store-bought kind?
You make a trip to the foot of Mount Apo and get it yourself.
I got this from Dr. Jack Estuart, a pediatrician here in Davao City: the word epidemic comes from the Greek “epi” meaning “upon” and “demos” meaning “the people.” Epidemiology, Dr. Jack said, is “the study of disease occurrence in populations. Occurrence means the distribution (data, quantified) and more importantly the analysis of its determinants.”
The context of our online conversation was the lack of data and information being provided by the Department of Health (DOH) in Region 11 specifically and DOH national in general. For the past three months the agency has been giving out daily updates but only in terms of new infections, deaths, and recoveries. It doesn’t give context. It does give out patient information, but even that is so lacking in detail that it is almost unusable.
Researchers at the University of the Philippines (UP) are forecasting that Davao City will have a total of 190 positive cases of COVID-19 and 30 deaths by the time the enhanced community quarantine (ECQ) ends on May 15, 2020.
In its Forecast Report No. 5 dated April 29, 2020, the researchers said while the daily transmissions in Davao City had been reduced on the second week of April, there was a slight resurgence in the succeeding weeks.